Dr Carlo Gallo on the "Allthingsrisk" Podcast

In a long-form podcast conversation with Ben Cattaneo, recorded in February 2023, Dr. Carlo Gallo covers the methodology behind political risk analysis and how this relates to decision-making, as well as the current Russia-Ukraine conflict.

As Ben wrote: “When it comes to forecasts about things that involve high degrees of ambiguity, we tend to be seduced by certainty. Geopolitics is one of those areas where forecasts and ratings abound. However, what we should be looking for (along with expertise), is clear, structured thinking relevant to our specific decisions, objectives, or circumstances.”

Putin’s decision to invade Ukraine in February 2022 has received wide international condemnation. While the invasion cannot be justified, we need to try and explain it, in order to understand how Putin’s regime works and what its endgame might be.